DAILYMachine-learning probabilities on over 300 stocks
PTP scores over 300 stocks every trading day for the probability of closing higher five trading days later. Swing traders get the Four-Gate selections. Cash-secured put and Wheel traders get a stock-specific 90% reference level for the applicable Friday expiration.
Free account: one current Four-Gate selection every trading day. Email and password, no credit card.
One Stock. Four Gates.
Past exampleFour-Gate selection ·
CAT
Caterpillar Inc. · Stock
5-day ML probability
94.9%
Model odds of about 9 in 10 to close higher 5 trading days out.
90% CSP/Wheel level: included with PTP Pro
A past selection, shown as an example. Today’s selection is on the Daily Pick page.
Two ways to use PTP
Swing traders
ML probability 0.75 or higher, fundamental criteria met, an AI current-event review, and a final human review, resolved into the day’s Four-Gate selections. One page each morning with the names that cleared every gate and the odds behind each.
How the Four-Gate process worksCash-secured put & Wheel traders
For each Four-Gate stock, a reference level derived from that stock’s own price history to the applicable Friday expiration: the discount below the current price that has held in roughly nine of ten comparable windows.
How the 90% level is calculatedThree tables · one membership
Every PTP Pro member receives all three stages. There are no separate analysis tiers.
Stage 1
Included with PTP Pro
Approximately 300 stocks, each with its daily 5-day ML probability.
Stage 2
Included with PTP Pro
High-probability stocks that also pass the fundamental screen.
Stage 3
Included with PTP Pro
Stage 2 plus AI catalyst analysis and final human review. Each selection carries its stock-specific 90% CSP/Wheel reference level.
How it works
After the close
The models score the approximately 300-stock universe for the probability of closing higher five trading days later.
Before the open
The fundamental rules create the qualified short list. This part is normally available before the market opens.
Around the open
Two AI reviewers weigh current news and scheduled events, then a final human review. When relevant news arrives in the morning, the Four-Gate selections may be published or updated after the open.
What a probability means
Weekly on YouTube
What the model is seeing this week, which names cleared the gates, and why. The newest episode appears here automatically.
Educational market commentary only. Not investment advice, and not a promise of results.
Watch on YouTube Read the written issueStraight talk
Worth knowing before you subscribe.
PTP publishes selections, probabilities and reference levels. Whether and how they fit your account is your decision.
A 70% probability loses three times in ten. Probabilities describe odds, not outcomes.
No countdown timers, no “can’t-miss” picks. The selections, the tables and the levels, once a day.
How the probabilities are built, how the 90% levels are derived, and what the numbers do and do not mean — written out on the Method page, with research papers to follow.
About the founder
Probability Trader Pro is built and run by James Krider, MD, a physician and quantitative trader. He wrote and tested every model in the pipeline and trades the output himself. His empirical work on markets and AI in trading is published in the Verdict Series.
The Verdict Series · Trust, but verify
Each book puts trading claims on trial. The companion resources give you the findings and the checklists, free.
Verdict Series · Book 1
106 Stocks · 140,871 Candle-Days · Which Patterns Actually Move the Odds
Free: Companion Guide with the principal findings and the Seven Questions checklist.
Companion resources
Verdict Series · Book 2
What Artificial Intelligence Can—and Cannot—Do for Traders
Free: Companion Guide, the Four Filters Card and the AI Trading Claim Checklist.
Companion resourcesPricing
One free account, one paid plan. Three tables, one membership.
$0
$39/ month
Founding-member rate, locked in for as long as you stay subscribed. Cancel anytime.
Create a free account to see today’s Four-Gate selection. Upgrade to PTP Pro whenever you’re ready.
